For those of you not familiar with the “Lake Wobegon
Effect”, I provide a brief definition located on the web:
It is named for the fictional town of
So, what does the Lake Wobegon Effect have to do with
startups? Most startup founders I’ve met (including me) manifest
this effect to some degree. It’s a subtle form of reality
distortion that causes most software entrepreneurs to believe that they and
their companies are better than most others.
Here is an example manifestation of this:
“Yes, I realize that Venture Capitalists only
fund a small percentage of companies they look at, but I am well above average, so my odds are
much better than other companies.” (Note: Most startup founders
think this way, and VCs know, for a fact, that they all can’t be right).
So, lets assume (for a second) that you are a victim
of TLWE. As noted, this is not uncommon – in fact, some might argue
that if you don’t have an element of this effect (whereby you think you
are better), you’re likely not to succeed as an entrepreneur. Though
this may be true, I think there are ways to make this effect (and people’s
awareness of it) work in your favor. The idea is this: somehow credibly demonstrate how you are actually
above average. The key word here is “credibly”.
So, lets say you are recruiting an exceptional
individual to join the management team of your startup. Lets assume that
this individual has already decided they want to work for a startup and are considering
several other offers. (Note: We could have easily replaced this
example with you raising capital from an investor, but I’m getting tired
of that example). Now, chances are, the individual being recruited has
heard the following from each of the founder/CEOs of the opportunities being
considered:
1. We have a curve-jumping, high
barrier-to-entry, disruptive technology that is going to change the world.
2. We are just two weeks away from: (pick
one or more):
a. Raising a round of venture capital
b. Signing a big client contract
c. Finalizing a deal with a big,
strategic partnership with a Fortune 500 company
3. The fact that nobody else of your caliber
has joined the team yet is simply because we are in “stealth” mode
and have not yet encountered someone as brilliant as you that really ‘gets
it”
Now, the mistake here is not so much that the above
statements aren’t true (they just might be), but that you are assuming
that you are the only person making these kinds of statements (or variations
thereof). In reality (when reality is not distorted), you are going to be
above average in some dimensions and not others. Your goal is not just to
demonstrate how great you are – but why your
company amongst the others she is considering is “well above average”
in specific areas of interest. How do you do this?
1. Get some facts: Figure out what
the real averages in your market are (compensation, size of funding, etc.)
2. Compare yourself to the real averages
and show that you are better
The above likely sounds overly simple and trite, so
let me elaborate with some example statements:
Example 1: “I read in a recent study that
he VP of Marketing for startups in hi-tech companies get about 70% of their fair
market value in terms of base compensation, with the remainder in equity and
options. Given how important this particular function is to us, and the
fact that we have strong financial backers, we’d be willing to offer
80-85% of fair market value so you are not taking on disproportionate risk.”
Example 2: “We recognize that most
VC-backed companies would offer you above $X on average in terms of base compensation.
However, we are not VC-backed and are looking to run the company efficiently so
that members of the management team can capture a significant portion of the value
we create. In order to attract exceptional talent like you, we would
offer Y% of the company as equity which is significantly above the industry
average of Z%. Of course, none of this equity means anything if the
company doesn’t succeed. Let me show you why we think this is a
good bet…”
Moral of the story: Figure
out a way to find what “average” really means in your context and
devise credible ways to show how you are “above average” in ways
that the other party actually cares about.