You're Probably Wrong

October 22, 2014

Dear Friend

About that thing we were chatting about the other day.  I've been trying to find a good way to say this, but...

You're probably wrong.

You think you're right, but you're probably wrong.  And, it's not that I disagree with you.  In fact, quite the opposite, I agree with you.  I agree with you so strongly that I made exactly the same mistake you're about to make -- years ago.  

Coincidentally, back then, I made the exact same arguments you're making now. I was less eloquent and less brilliant than you but equally stubborn -- and equally wrong.

But, I realize I'm probably not going to be able to talk you out of it.  Just like nobody was able to talk me out of it.  And that's OK. Looking back on things I wish I had let myself get talked out of fewer things.

And, even though the right thing to do is to tell you all this, the righter thing is to not.  Because, who knows, maybe I'm wrong, and you're right. Maybe things have changed.   And even if I am right, the last thing you need is the seed of doubt as you're about to try something new and bold.  

Doubt is only useful if it keeps you from making a mistake, otherwise, it's just a distraction.

And, who knows, you may be looking for something different.  It's as if we came across each other in the woods, and I say to you:  "That path, I've been down it...it doesn't go anywhere."  And you say:  "That's OK, I'm not trying to go anywhere."

So, go forth.  I'm hoping you prove yourself right.  I'm used to being wrong.  I've had lots of practice.

Wish you the best.

Cheers.

Written by Dharmesh Shah

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